Sticks, carrots, toxic carrots: Clearing the air in China and India
Ivetta Gerasimchuk, Lucy Kitson & Lourdes Sanchez
Common problems potentially require common solutions, and the need for a dialogue. This is true in the case of China and India when it comes to their challenge of tackling air pollution and switching to clean energy.
Poor air quality has become a major political concern in both the countries. It was a headline topic at the opening of the National People's Congress on March 5, 2017, with Chinese Prime Minister Li Keqiang reaffirming the government's commitment to clearing the skies through increased investment in clean energy and implementing tougher sanctions for polluters.
In India, independent estimates of the devastating health impacts of emissions from electricity plants, industry and transport cause non-stop public controversies.
In order to effectively tackle the pollution crises, technologies that support clean air, water and soil in both China and India must gradually replace polluting alternatives. Implementation of this transition will largely depend on local factors. So what is the best approach for each government to take in promoting these technologies: the stick or carrot? And which incentives, or disincentives, are the most effective?
Both the countries face similar challenges. Each has prioritised the installation of de-sulfurising, de-nitrating and de-dusting equipment at existing coal-fired electricity plants in order to curb harmful emissions. Both China and India have applied emission standards to their electricity, transport and industrial sectors. However, compliance with these standards remains a major challenge. Beijing, for instance, is still believed to be at least a decade away from blue skies, whereas India lags still further behind.
To complement command-and-control regulations such as emission standards, "the stick", China is also using a "carrot" by offering a premium sale price to coal-fired generators that have installed emission abatement equipment. The value of this "carrot" was estimated at around 100 billion yuan per annum ($14.5 billion) in 2014 and 2015.
Given its lower level of economic development and budgetary constraints, India cannot afford using such expensive carrots to encourage reduction of pollution from coal plants. India prioritises provision of affordable electricity to its population and improving energy access for the 20 per cent of people that still do not have electricity in their homes. This is very different from China, a country with an electrification rate of 100 per cent that is addressing a major challenge of over-capacity in coal-fired generation.
India also levies a cess on coal use that is partially allocated to support clean technologies. Charged at Rs 400 ($6) per tonne of coal, the cess (a form of carbon tax) has seen an eightfold increase since 2014. Between 2011 and 2016 an estimated Rs 13,616 crore (over $2 billion) from the coal cess revenue was transferred to the National Clean Energy Fund.
Feed-in tariffs and other carrots for renewable energy have driven a rapid increase in installed renewable energy capacity in both China and India. However, this additional capacity will only enable a switch to cleaner energy if it is used, and in both China and India, some of the new wind capacity has faced curtailment problems.
Among its causes are "toxic carrots" given by the governments. In China, the energy policy is conflicting. While some policies seek to curb coal capacity, others guarantee coal-fired power plants a certain number of hours of operation. Thus, the value of wind curtailment in Liaoning, Jilin, Hei Long Jian and East Inner Mongolia was estimated at 6.9 billion yuan ($1 billion) in 2016, driven partly by the priority given to the use of coal power.
In India, renewable energy developers enjoyed a generous accelerated depreciation allowance, but were not given a guarantee for generation or dispatch. However, India has capped this allowance at 40 per cent and wind power is being developed through the reverse auction mechanism whereby the bid is won by the seller quoting the lowest price.
(Ivetta Gerasimchuk is lead on Sustainable Energy Supplies at the International Institute for Sustainable Development -- IISD; Lucy Kitson is a research officer and economist at IISD; Lourdes Sanchez is policy officer with IISD. The views expressed are those of IISD. The authors can be contacted at [email protected])